Resource Diplomacy and Development Assistance: An Analysis of Opportunities and Challenges in China–Afghanistan Relations

Authors

  • Hashmat Ullah Khan Research Fellow, Institute for Strategic Studies, Research & Analysis (ISSRA), National Defence University, Islamabad, Pakistan
  • Asif Iqbal Dawar Assistant Professor, Department of Peace and Conflict Studies, National Defence University, Islamabad, Pakistan
  • Aman Ullah Khan Assistant Professor, Department of Peace and Conflict Studies, National Defence University, Islamabad, Pakistan.

Keywords:

China-Afghanistan relations, regional security, economic development, strategic interests, non-interference, foreign aid, terrorism, post-withdrawal Afghanistan

Abstract

In the wake of the US withdrawal from Afghanistan in 2021, the region’s geopolitics are shifting, notably the role of China in Afghanistan. This study examines China's increased involvement in Afghanistan after the US withdrawal, focusing on the opportunities and challenges that arise from this engagement. By examining the trajectory of Afghanistan-China bilateral relations, the study addresses a fundamental question: what are the possibilities and challenges China has encountered, and why has China increased its level of involvement in Afghanistan following the US withdrawal? To answer this question, the paper systematically highlights both the challenges and opportunities in bilateral relations between these two neighboring countries. Moreover, the study posits that, unlike Western powers, China provides aid based on noninterference and without political conditions, which resonates well with Afghan stakeholders. However, challenges remain, including terrorism, political instability, weak state institutions, and competing interests from global powers. The study finds that despite China’s model offering an alternative to military-based interventions, its success depends on navigating complex regional dynamics and maintaining a long-term commitment to Afghanistan’s reconstruction and sovereignty.

Published

2026-02-10